Rasmussen (likely voters, 6/17, 5/19 in parentheses):
Mark Udall (D): 49 (47)
Bob Schaffer (R): 40 (41)
(MoE: ±4%)
It’s a small bump, but Udall’s lead has moved outside the margin of error. His favorability numbers also are way ahead of Schaffer’s (56% very or somewhat favorable for Udall vs. 47% very or somewhat favorable for Schaffer, 35% very or somewhat unfavorable for Udall vs. 45% very or somewhat unfavorable for Schaffer).
I guess that’s what happens when you don’t know which mountains are located in your own state. Or what happens when you’re pals with Jack Abramoff and David Safavian…
Bonus finding (James): Obama leads by 43-41 in the state, down from 48-42 in May.
but in New Mexico, Pearce doesn’t know the right Udall.
They are showing a very close race and a loss of ground for Obama in Colorado…I just don’t buy it. Sometimes I think Rasmussen is doing weird things with his numbers, especially this election cycle.
-zak
Colorado’s trend to the Democrats is not accident, and even if Obama is portrayed too much as a liberal, which apparently he isn’t, Mark Udall will still win that Senate seat and the Dems may pick off Musgrave’s House seat too if the numbers align.
Republicans have become the party of big government out there in the Mountain West. Their catering to big oil does not still well with a state where a good chuck were born outside the state and migrated there for its beautiful environmental conditions. Seeing what the last 8 years the GOP has offered, plus Obama’s historical candidacy, should drive the numbers up in the Denver suburbs and the Front Range region for all Dem candidates in the state.
It has been too close, considering the baggage Schaffer has lately.